Ancona vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ROM
3 - 0
ANC
81%
12%
7%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
BAR
4 - 2
ANC
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
ANC
1 - 1
LIV
19%
21%
61%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ANC
87%
9%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
ANC
1 - 1
PES
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
FIO
3 - 1
PES
83%
11%
7%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
SIE
1 - 1
FIO
35%
22%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
FIO
2 - 1
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
FIO
0 - 1
NAP
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAL
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |