Ancona vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
SAL
4 - 2
ANC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
ANC
3 - 2
PES
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ANC
5 - 2
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
PIS
1 - 1
ANC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ANC
3 - 1
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
CRO
2 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
SAM
2 - 1
CRO
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 0
PIS
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2001 |
PIA
1 - 2
CRO
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
CRO
2 - 2
VNZ
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |