Ancona vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
PIA
2 - 2
ANC
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
ANC
0 - 0
BRE
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
UDI
3 - 1
ANC
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
PAR
2 - 2
ANC
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
FCC
0 - 0
SSB
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
REG
0 - 0
FCC
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
FCC
0 - 1
GEN
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
COS
0 - 0
FCC
49%
28%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
FCC
1 - 0
SSS
62%
24%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |