Ancona vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ANC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
ANC
1 - 1
BOL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
BRE
4 - 0
ANC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
ANC
1 - 1
PES
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
CHI
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
VER
1 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 4
PRG
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
FIA
1 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAL
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |