Ancona vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 0
ANC
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 2
PAL
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
2 - 2
ANC
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
31%
28%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
3 - 2
GUA
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
FIA
2 - 0
CAT
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
JUS
1 - 2
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |