Ancona vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
75%
15%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
UNI
5 - 0
ANC
80%
12%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 1
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SIR
3 - 1
ANC
77%
13%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
VNZ
2 - 2
ANC
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
CAT
2 - 1
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
CAT
2 - 0
SER
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAT
61%
20%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
CAT
3 - 2
PIS
63%
19%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
UNI
5 - 0
CAT
72%
16%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |