Ancona vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 1
PIA
61%
25%
15%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
TOR
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
PAD
1 - 1
ANC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
TOR
4 - 1
ANC
77%
15%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
SSB
0 - 1
ANC
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
CAS
0 - 1
REG
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
CAS
2 - 2
INT
15%
25%
60%
|
54 | 89 | 35 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
PIS
2 - 3
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
INT
1 - 0
CAS
96%
3%
1%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
CAS
1 - 0
AVE
29%
28%
44%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |