Ancona vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
COS
2 - 0
ANC
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
LIC
49%
29%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
MES
3 - 1
ANC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
PAR
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 1
TOR
22%
30%
48%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
COM
2 - 0
PAD
52%
30%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
PAD
0 - 2
USF
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAD
58%
28%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
REG
0 - 1
PAD
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |