Ancona vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1998 |
ASS
3 - 3
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
ANC
0 - 0
PES
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
ANC
3 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 1
ANC
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1998 |
CAG
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
PAD
1 - 2
CAG
18%
24%
59%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
CAG
3 - 1
ASL
72%
18%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
REG
0 - 0
CAG
20%
25%
55%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |