Ancona vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1990 |
ASS
1 - 3
ANC
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
ANC
0 - 0
TRI
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
FCC
2 - 3
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
PIS
1 - 0
ANC
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1990 |
CAG
2 - 0
PES
39%
28%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
COM
0 - 1
CAG
43%
31%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
59%
26%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAG
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
TOR
24%
30%
45%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |