Ancona vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 1
ANC
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ASG
0 - 2
ANC
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 3
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ANC
22%
27%
51%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 1
TUT
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 1
REG
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 0
ACP
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ACP
2 - 1
PIS
66%
19%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
ACP
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 4
PON
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |