Ancona vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 1
PIA
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ANC
3 - 1
FRO
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
REG
0 - 3
ANC
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 1
ANC
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
MOD
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CES
2 - 2
GRO
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
30%
27%
42%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CES
3 - 0
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 1
CES
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |