Ancona vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
USF
1 - 0
ANC
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
ANC
0 - 2
ASL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
REG
2 - 2
ANC
33%
29%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
4 - 0
ANC
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ANC
4 - 3
PRG
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
CES
0 - 1
VNZ
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 1
CES
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
CES
1 - 0
PIS
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
LEC
2 - 1
CES
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
VIC
6 - 3
CES
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |