Ancienne Château-Gontier vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
82.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
40
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LPS
4 - 0
ACG
89%
8%
3%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ACG
0 - 1
CHA
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FCE
3 - 2
ACG
55%
20%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 1
NIO
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SNA
0 - 2
SPG
55%
22%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 2
SCB
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPG
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 3
USS
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |