Ancienne Château-Gontier vs Saint-Nazaire AF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
67.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
22
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
ACG
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
USS
2 - 2
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
LAV
13%
19%
68%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
SAB
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Nazaire AF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SNA
0 - 4
NIO
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
4 - 0
SNA
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SNA
2 - 1
LSD
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
SNA
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SNA
2 - 1
CHA
27%
24%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |