Ancienne Château-Gontier vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
48
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
SNA
14%
18%
68%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
ACG
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
USS
2 - 2
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
LAV
13%
19%
68%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
LAV
48%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
FON
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FON
7 - 1
LPS
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FON
2 - 1
NIO
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
SPG
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |