Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 3-2
Anápolis vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
25.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CIA
1 - 2
ANA
35%
30%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ANA
3 - 0
ITA
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 0
ANA
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 2
BRA
37%
30%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 1
ANA
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CIA
1 - 2
ANA
35%
30%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CIA
2 - 1
COS
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
COS
1 - 3
CIA
36%
29%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
CIA
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CIA
1 - 1
CAS
38%
30%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |