Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-2
Anapolina vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
6 - 1
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 1
ANA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 1
TUP
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 0
ANA
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TUP
3 - 1
ANA
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
VOL
58%
23%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
SEC
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
VIL
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 2
VIL
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |