Anapolina vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
4 - 2
ANA
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 2
APA
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 0
CRA
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
ANA
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 0
ANA
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
GAM
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
LUV
0 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
ITU
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |