Anapolina vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
ANA
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ANA
0 - 0
ANA
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
4 - 1
ANA
86%
11%
4%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ANA
1 - 0
GOI
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 2
ANA
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 0
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
5 - 0
JAR
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
JAR
0 - 1
GOI
40%
24%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
IPO
0 - 0
JAR
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
JAR
3 - 1
APA
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |