Anapolina vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
ANA
2 - 1
GAM
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BAH
3 - 1
ANA
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
ANA
2 - 2
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GOI
1 - 4
ANA
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
ANA
3 - 1
JAT
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 3
POR
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 0
NAU
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
POR
2 - 2
NAU
14%
19%
67%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 2
SPO
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |