Anapolina vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 3
ANA
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ANA
5 - 1
CAN
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
ANA
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ANA
1 - 4
ITU
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 2
ANA
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
90%
8%
2%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
APA
3 - 2
JAT
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
APA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
APA
1 - 3
ANA
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
APA
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |