Anadia vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 1
CIN
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
AMA
3 - 0
ANA
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ANA
0 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BOA
2 - 0
ANA
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ANA
6 - 0
MAD
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
PAD
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
AMA
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 2
BOA
20%
26%
54%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 2
PAD
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |