Amurrio vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 0
AMU
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AMU
2 - 0
HAR
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
AMU
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
AMU
2 - 0
CDG
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SES
0 - 3
AMU
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 0
RAC
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
RAC
0 - 0
SEV
35%
26%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 0
RAC
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
RSO
0 - 1
RAC
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |