Amurrio vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AMU
0 - 1
AUR
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
LOG
1 - 2
AMU
61%
22%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
BIN
3 - 5
AMU
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
AMU
3 - 2
CLH
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
RUN
1 - 0
AMU
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
36%
27%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 1
PEÑ
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 1
PEÑ
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
LOG
24%
29%
47%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
OSA
24%
29%
47%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +3 |