Amurrio vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
GER
0 - 0
AMU
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
AMU
0 - 0
ALA
23%
29%
48%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
AMU
1 - 1
BEA
39%
30%
31%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
CFP
1 - 1
AMU
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
AMU
0 - 3
RUN
46%
27%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
NUM
1 - 0
BEA
61%
24%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
CFP
0 - 0
NUM
23%
29%
48%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
NUM
0 - 0
RUN
66%
21%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
RSO
0 - 0
NUM
28%
29%
44%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
NUM
0 - 0
CLU
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |