Amurrio vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
LOG
1 - 2
AMU
61%
22%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
BIN
3 - 5
AMU
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
AMU
3 - 2
CLH
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
RUN
1 - 0
AMU
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AMU
2 - 0
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 1
PEÑ
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
LOG
2 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
2 - 1
BIN
40%
29%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
CLH
1 - 2
AUR
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 3
RUN
25%
31%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |