Amurrio vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
ZAR
0 - 2
AMU
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
AMU
2 - 2
TUD
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
SSC
1 - 0
AMU
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
AMU
0 - 0
GIM
40%
28%
33%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
LEM
0 - 1
AMU
66%
21%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
UDC
1 - 0
BEA
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
CFP
1 - 0
UDC
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
UDC
2 - 3
RUN
31%
28%
40%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
RSO
1 - 4
UDC
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
UDC
2 - 4
CLU
34%
27%
40%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |