Amurrio vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
62.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 1
AMU
36%
32%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
AMU
2 - 0
TOM
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
AMU
5 - 2
LOG
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
TOM
1 - 4
AMU
30%
32%
38%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
AMU
3 - 0
UNI
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
RSO
4 - 2
ATH
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
CDT
2 - 3
ATH
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 1
OSA
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
RAY
4 - 2
ATH
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ATH
0 - 1
SEV
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |