Amur-2010 vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amur-2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
AMU
0 - 0
SAK
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SME
0 - 1
AMU
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAK
1 - 0
AMU
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
AMU
1 - 1
YAK
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 2
AMU
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
SME
0 - 1
FCC
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SME
0 - 1
AMU
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SME
3 - 0
FCC
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
SME
2 - 4
SAK
34%
28%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
YAK
0 - 1
SME
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |