Amur-2010 vs Sibir Novosibirsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amur-2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
4 - 0
AMU
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AMU
2 - 1
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
IRT
1 - 0
AMU
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
0 - 2
AMU
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AMU
3 - 0
SIB
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SIB
0 - 1
SME
20%
26%
54%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SIB
0 - 3
SAK
16%
24%
60%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SME
2 - 0
SIB
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SAK
5 - 0
SIB
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 2
FCC
20%
26%
54%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |