FC Amsterdam vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
SPA
6 - 0
AMS
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 4
AMS
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
AMS
1 - 1
UTR
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
AJA
5 - 1
AMS
83%
11%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
AMS
3 - 2
HFC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
NAC
3 - 3
VOL
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
TEL
1 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
NAC
2 - 1
GAE
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
RJC
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |