FC Amsterdam vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 1
AMS
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
AMS
1 - 2
RJC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
AMS
0 - 0
EIN
62%
22%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
FEY
0 - 0
AMS
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
AMS
1 - 2
GAE
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 2
FEY
19%
23%
59%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
GAE
0 - 1
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 0
TEL
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
UTR
3 - 2
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 2
TWE
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |