FC Amsterdam vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
EXC
1 - 1
AMS
33%
30%
38%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
AMS
0 - 1
SPA
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
MVV
2 - 1
AMS
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
AMS
1 - 1
NEC
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
AMS
82%
12%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ADO
0 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
EIN
3 - 3
UTR
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
UTR
2 - 1
MVV
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 0
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |