Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-8
FC Amsterdam vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
AMS
5 - 2
SPA
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
MVV
3 - 1
AMS
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
KOL
5 - 1
AMS
86%
9%
5%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
AMS
1 - 1
ADO
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 4
AMS
86%
10%
5%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
F95
5 - 2
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
KOL
2 - 1
HER
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
KOL
5 - 1
AMS
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
OFC
1 - 4
KOL
40%
24%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
KOL
1 - 0
BYM
48%
22%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |