Derde Divisie Playoffs Final
Global 4-6
Amsterdamsche FC vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amsterdamsche FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
SPA
4 - 1
AFC
50%
22%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AFC
3 - 2
JVC
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
VVS
2 - 1
AFC
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 4
HBS
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
EVV
1 - 1
AFC
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
SPA
4 - 1
AFC
50%
22%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 1
GVV
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TER
1 - 3
SPA
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 1
HHC
51%
22%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NOO
0 - 2
SPA
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |