Amsterdamsche FC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amsterdamsche FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 1
LEO
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EVV
1 - 2
AFC
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 1
DET
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 4
OJC
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EDO
1 - 0
AFC
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 2
GAE
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |