Amparo vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amparo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AMP
2 - 1
UNI
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
AMP
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AMP
0 - 3
SKA
64%
19%
16%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AMP
0 - 1
RIO
35%
26%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAU
0 - 1
AMP
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PAU
1 - 2
COL
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
PAU
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PAU
4 - 3
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAU
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAU
0 - 1
AMP
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |