Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
SD Amorebieta vs Manacor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
SDA
2 - 2
LAU
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CDU
0 - 3
SDA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 0
EIB
74%
18%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ZAL
0 - 4
SDA
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 0
GER
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Manacor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
UDA
2 - 1
MNC
10%
21%
69%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MNC
2 - 0
CLL
61%
23%
16%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FLN
1 - 0
MNC
21%
25%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
MNC
3 - 0
MNU
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PBL
2 - 2
MNC
45%
25%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |