SD Amorebieta vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
SDA
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SDA
4 - 1
RUN
29%
28%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
RSO
0 - 1
SDA
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 1
OSA
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 1
SDA
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ACF
5 - 0
SEG
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ACF
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ACF
2 - 0
CDG
29%
28%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACF
1 - 1
EIB
23%
29%
48%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
ACF
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |