Amnéville vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
USB
1 - 2
LIL
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
VAU
1 - 2
USB
29%
24%
48%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
USB
0 - 1
MAR
4%
17%
79%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
USB
2 - 0
SAI
82%
12%
7%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
USB
1 - 2
STL
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |