Amnéville vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amnéville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
AMN
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AMN
1 - 2
SAR
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAI
2 - 1
AMN
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
THA
2 - 1
AMN
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AMN
2 - 0
BIE
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
BIE
3 - 0
ILL
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 2
COL
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NAN
5 - 0
ILL
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MET
11 - 1
ILL
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ILL
2 - 1
MOR
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |