Ammerthal vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
14º
8º
48
14º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
52 | 52 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
52 | 52 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
52 | 52 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
49 | 49 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
48 | 48 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 16 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammerthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
AMM
4 - 1
FEU
88%
9%
4%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
2 - 1
AMM
25%
22%
54%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ELT
0 - 0
AMM
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
AMM
1 - 1
NEU
59%
21%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
WUR
1 - 3
AMM
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ELT
1 - 2
REG
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
REG
7 - 2
NEU
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WUR
1 - 4
REG
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
REG
0 - 2
HAH
21%
20%
60%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
JRE
4 - 1
REG
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |