Ammerthal vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
54%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
9º
6º
47
1º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammerthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
FCG
0 - 2
AMM
48%
21%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AMM
3 - 0
KOR
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ELT
1 - 1
AMM
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
AMM
3 - 3
SVD
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 4
AMM
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
JRE
4 - 1
GRO
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FEU
3 - 1
JRE
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
JRE
4 - 2
TSV
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 5
JRE
11%
17%
72%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
JRE
2 - 0
DJJ
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |