Ammerthal vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammerthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AHA
3 - 1
AMM
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AMM
2 - 2
MEM
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HOL
1 - 1
AMM
22%
22%
55%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AMM
2 - 0
SEL
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ERB
2 - 0
AMM
47%
23%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 2
JRE
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
4 - 0
FRO
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
AHA
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MEM
2 - 3
BAY
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
HOL
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |