Ammanford AFC vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
AAF
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 1
LLA
55%
21%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CWM
2 - 1
AAF
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
AAF
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
TRE
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PON
3 - 6
CAE
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
4 - 1
PON
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PON
1 - 0
ABE
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
PON
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
LLA
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |