Ammanford AFC vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CWM
2 - 1
AAF
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
AAF
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
TRE
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 2
BDG
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
AAF
4 - 3
CWM
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
BRI
8%
15%
77%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
LLA
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 3
TAF
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
5 - 0
LLA
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 2
CAM
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |