Ammanford AFC vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 3
LLA
27%
23%
51%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 4
LID
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 1
AAF
14%
19%
68%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
AAF
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 2
AAF
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAE
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAE
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
BRI
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
TAF
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAE
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |