Amkar Perm vs Akron Tolyatti II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+110%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
1º
22
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 43 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
77% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 32 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 23 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 17 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
75.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amkar Perm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
URA
0 - 2
PER
12%
22%
67%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
DIN
77%
17%
6%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PER
2 - 0
RKZ
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 15 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
KRS
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 19 | 45 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 1
PER
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
NOV
62%
19%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 1
FKA
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
NOS
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
KAZ
2 - 0
FKA
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 3
VNO
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |