Amiens SC vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
13º
10º
43
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 2
AMI
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AMI
3 - 1
AJA
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MET
3 - 2
AMI
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 1
ROD
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
GRE
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 3
PFC
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 0
STL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RED
1 - 3
PFC
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
GUI
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |